7.5.2.4 Credit risk related to loans granted to the joint venture Sierra Gorda S.C.M. (POCI)

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in PLN millions, unless otherwise stated

Credit risk related to loans granted depends on risk related to the realisation of the joint mining venture in Chile (Sierra Gorda S.C.M.). These loans, as a result of the impairment recognised at the moment of initial recognition due to credit risk, were classified as POCI, and are measured at the end of the subsequent reporting periods at amortised cost using the effective interest rate method and the effective discount rate adjusted by credit risk.

The basis for accruing interest on POCI loans is their gross value less any allowance for impairment at the moment of initial recognition.

The loan granted does not have collateral limiting the exposure to credit risk, therefore the maximum amount exposed to potential loss due to credit risk is the gross amount of the loan, less expected credit losses recognised pursuant to IFRS 9.

The following table presents the change in the period in the value of POCI loans.

2021 2020
Amount as at 1 January 6 069 5 694
Loans repaid (1 259)
Interest accrued 494 377
Gains on reversal of allowances for impairment 2 380 74
Exchange differences from the translation of statements of operations with a functional currency other than PLN 630 (76)
Amount as at 31 December 8 314 6 069

There was no expected impairment of loans in respect of which impairment was recognised at the moment of initial recognition in any of the presented reporting periods.

Sensitivity analysis of the fair value of loans due to the change in forecasted cash flows of Sierra Gorda S.C.M.

As at 31 December 2021, the Group classified the measurement to fair value of loans granted to level 3 of the fair value hierarchy because of the utilisation in the measurement of a significant unmeasurable parameter, being the forecasted cash flows of Sierra Gorda S.C.M. These cash flows are the most sensitive to changes in copper prices, which implies other assumptions such as forecasted production and operating margin. Therefore, the Group performed a sensitivity analysis of the fair value of loans to changes in copper prices.

Because of the significant sensitivity of the forecasted cash flows of Sierra Gorda S.C.M. to changes in copper price, pursuant to IFRS 13 p.93.f the Group performed a sensitivity analysis of the fair value (level 3) of loans to changes in copper prices.

Copper prices [USD/t]
Scenarios – 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 LT
Base 8 500 8 000 7 500 7 500 7 500 7 000
Base minus 0.1 USD/lb during mine life (220 USD/tonne) 8 280 7 780 7 280 7 280 7 280 6 780
Base plus 0.1 USD/lb during mine life (220 USD/tonne) 8 720 8 220 7 720 7 720 7 720 7 220

Scenarios – 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 LT
Base 6 500 6 300 6 400 6 614 6 614 6 834
Pessimistic 5 500 5 000 5 200 5 500 5 800 6 834
Optimistic 8 500 8 500 8 500 6 834

Classes of financial instruments Fair value

Carrying amount 31 December 2021

Sensitivity analysis of the fair value to
changes in copper price*
Base plus 0.1 USD/lb during
mine life
Base minus 0.1 USD/lb during
mine life
Loans granted measured at amortised cost 8 193 ** 8 314 8 916 7 474
* Approximate estimation of fair value on the basis of an estimation of the total cash flows available on the level of Sierra Gorda S.C.M.
** USD 2 018 million.

The above approximate estimation of the fair value of cash flows available for the repayment of loans granted to Sierra Gorda S.C.M. was prepared on the basis of the total cash flows available to Sierra Gorda S.C.M. (55% attributable to the KGHM Group).

Business scenarios assumed by the Parent Entity’s Management Board to measure the carrying amount of loans adopt a conservative approach, among others as to the moment the cash flows occur, and assuming that not all of the cash flows generated by Sierra Gorda S.C.M. will be used to repay the loans.,  Pursuant to the equity method, as at 31 December 2021 the Group measures the value of the interest in Sierra Gorda S.C.M. at the level of 0.

On 22 February 2022 the transaction was concluded for sale of the 45% share in the company Sierra Gorda S.C.M. by Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. and Sumitomo Corporation to South32, the Australian mining group with its registered head office in Perth. The transaction was finished on the basis of sales agreements concluded on 14 October 2021.

Due to a number of factors, such as the lack of knowledge about the details of the negotiation process, the valuation assumptions made by the buyer and seller, and the fact that shares of Sierra Gorda S.C.M. are not listed, it is not justifiable to assess the value of loans by directly referring to the transaction price from the sale of the 45% interest in Sierra Gorda S.C.M. (i.e. participation in equity and loan receivables) by the seller following the end of the reporting period (the change of the partner in the joint venture Sierra Gorda S.C.M. is described in detail in note 12.14). Nevertheless, the Group made an additional comparison of the carrying amount of its own involvement in the joint venture Sierra Gorda S.C.M. (i.e. receivable due to a loan and investments in equity instruments) in order to verify that the total carrying amount does not differ substantially from the value that would result from the transaction price, taking into account: (i) limitations as to the Group’s ability to obtain full knowledge of the process of reaching the transaction price, and (ii) differences in the applied discount rates for future expected cash flows obtainable from the JV (i.e. the effective interest rate for loan measurement according to IFRS 9, versus the rate of return expected by the investor in the valuation of the transaction price).

In the opinion of the Management Board, the value of loans estimated by the Group does not differ significantly from the value that would be determined by reference to the transaction price.

As a result, the estimated approximate fair value of total cash flows available to Sierra Gorda S.C.M. reflects the best possible estimate of the value of loans received from the owners as well as the value of interest held.

Classes of financial instruments Fair value

Carrying amount 31 December 2020

Sensitivity analysis of the fair value to changes in copper price
Pessimistic Optimistic
Loans granted measured at amortised cost 5 998 6 069 7 133 5 094

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